Ao Nang weather forecast
From 2 to 24 February 2012

Forecast in short	Krabi radar
Issued 1 February at 12 h	click image for radar loop
My holiday in Argentina is from 1 to 23 February. I also take a break from weather forecasting. Climatology tells us that the most probable weather in February would be: 1. Sunny weather with cumulus development in the afternoon. 2. Mostly dry weather. 3. ENE wind. 4. Maximum temperature 32 to 34°C. 5. High and low tide: click this link

Observed weather	Satellite
Further developments	click image for latest update
The first three months of this year there is a La Niña event in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. It causes a higher than average rainfall in southern Thailand. The Ao Nang average is 35 mm for the whole month of February. Calculated rain amount: see the ECMWF forecast below. In many cases ECMWF forecasts too many clouds and too long intervals of light rain. The time in the radar and satellite images is in UTC. Add 7 hours for Thai time.

Weather outlook two weeks ahead

Southern Thailand

The weather maps look two weeks ahead. Of course the reliability decreases the further ahead they forecast. The weather maps promise dry air at middle altitude from Thursday evening 2 February to Friday 17 February, except on Wednesday 15 February when a patch of humid air passes Ao Nang. The chance of afternoon showers is small, except on Wednesday 15 February. The timing of a weather event is often wrong but it looks like unsettled weather passes Ao Nang on one of the days around the 15th.

Please send your comments or questions to Will Ottevanger .